Document Type

Article

Publication Date

4-29-2020

Publication Title

Journal of Economic Studies

Volume

47

Issue

7

Pages

1849-1860

Publisher Name

Emerald Publishing Limited

Abstract

Purpose

Quantitative easing (QE) allowed the US economy to stabilize and return to slow growth. Oil prices increased to $100 during 2010–2013. Then in June 2014, they plunged again dramatically to $40. The purpose of this paper is to develop and test a model that describes the price of oil as depending on six inputs: Federal assets accumulated by the Federal Reserve during the period of QE, the 10-Year Treasury note rate, the price of copper, the trade-weighted dollar, the S&P 500 Index and the US high yield rate for bonds rated CCC or below.

Design/methodology/approach

We use 771 overlapping 52-week regressions to capture short-run oil price dynamics.

Findings

We find that QE was statistically significant only during 2009–2010, while the US high yield rate played a more significant role, both during and after the crisis.

Research limitations/implications

This paper does not explain the behavior of oil prices prior to 2003.

Practical implications

This paper emphasizes the role of the high yield rate on fracking technology in financing the extraction and production of oil.

Originality/value

The paper has both the theoretical value for researchers in the area of energy, as well as practical application for the oil industry.

Identifier

ISSN: 0144-3585

Comments

Author Posting © Emerald Publishing Limited, 2020. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Emerald Publishing Limited for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Economic Studies, Volume 47, Issue 7, April 2020. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-01-2020-0025

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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