Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

9-1-2016

Abstract

The purpose of the paper is to assess the impact of OPEC and US crude oil production adjustments on global crude oil price changes. Results in the paper indicate there is a common long term trend between change in OPEC production and crude oil price, but there is no evidence of common trend between change in crude oil price and US oil production. Our finding also indicate there is no evidence of common cycle feature between change in OPEC production and crude oil price, but there is strong evidence of common cyclical association between change in US production and crude oil price. These results imply change in OPEC production adjust crude oil price trend in the long term, but the short term cyclical change of crude oil price is influenced by change in US crude oil production.

Journal Title

Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies

ISSN

2334-282X

Publisher

Middle East Economic Association and Loyola University Chicago

Volume

18

Issue

2

Comments

Presentation of the articles in the Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies was made possible by a limited license granted to Loyola University Chicago and Middle East Economics Association from the authors who have retained all copyrights in the articles.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 License.

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